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<Research>JPM Names SWIREPROPERTIES/ HENDERSON LAND/ LINK REIT as Top Picks for HK Developers; More Catalysts Awaiting Ahead
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Since mid-June, Hong Kong property stocks have outpaced the HSI by 8%, according to a research report from JPMorgan.

Just yesterday (25th), the sector rose by 3% (compared to a 1% gain in the HSI). The main reasons included: (1) growing market expectations that the US may cut interest rates earlier than anticipated; (2) sector rotation into high-dividend or lagging sectors such as Hong Kong property (in fact, Hong Kong property stocks were still underperforming the HSI by 1% YTD even after the recent rally); (3) The HIBOR has stayed below 1% for nearly two months; (4) a slight increase in southbound capital holdings (rising from 7.2% in early May to 7.6% recently); (5) to a lesser extent, positive news from strong sales absorption rates in recent residential projects, and JP Morgan has also observed increased interest from long-term investors. The broker also pointed out that some stocks (especially SHK PPT (00016.HK)) are already trading at quite high valuations.

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JPMorgan's top picks in the sector remained SWIREPROPERTIES (01972.HK), HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK), and LINK REIT (00823.HK). Even though these three stocks have already risen 30%, 28%, and 37% respectively YTD, they still offer dividend yields of over 6% and have further catalysts ahead.
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